Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.952080 1.074094 1.207362 1.363984 1.543337 1.742679 1.981541
2024-12-22 0.756226 0.918473 1.110635 1.356086 1.662801 2.035389 2.525279
2024-12-29 0.656550 0.837250 1.063108 1.368266 1.773019 2.295923 3.029846
2025-01-05 0.574128 0.761154 1.005225 1.350315 1.830885 2.484086 3.452262
2025-01-12 0.513827 0.704200 0.962004 1.341117 1.891972 2.674909 3.892963
2025-01-19 0.450162 0.634468 0.891996 1.283605 1.873751 2.745578 4.160475
2025-01-26 0.420142 0.608360 0.879441 1.305324 1.970461 2.991243 4.718993
2025-02-02 0.395464 0.587053 0.870825 1.330376 2.072496 3.253064 5.332624
2025-02-09 0.370384 0.562429 0.854250 1.340192 2.149558 3.480816 5.915159
2025-02-16 0.347510 0.538924 0.836796 1.345928 2.218936 3.700975 6.509363
2025-02-23 0.331243 0.524267 0.831669 1.370622 2.321473 3.986707 7.255802
2025-03-02 0.305032 0.491258 0.793766 1.335874 2.316141 4.079981 7.651397
2025-03-09 0.292383 0.480110 0.791871 1.364449 2.428958 4.403998 8.546533
2025-03-16 0.272931 0.455961 0.765965 1.347964 2.457328 4.573392 9.156302
2025-03-23 0.260217 0.442318 0.756929 1.360852 2.541571 4.858352 10.044015
2025-03-30 0.243940 0.421121 0.732720 1.342938 2.563604 5.021043 10.689489
2025-04-06 0.230406 0.403808 0.714105 1.333801 2.601707 5.219888 11.442546
2025-04-13 0.211453 0.375286 0.672741 1.276634 2.535871 5.192521 11.669081
2025-04-20 0.204425 0.368330 0.671146 1.298223 2.636166 5.533386 12.819075
2025-04-27 0.198269 0.362545 0.671263 1.323125 2.745794 5.907053 14.106458
2025-05-04 0.190718 0.353543 0.664424 1.332881 2.823048 6.215729 15.276797
2025-05-11 0.183226 0.344133 0.656058 1.338583 2.891600 6.511673 16.460038
2025-05-18 0.178233 0.339298 0.656466 1.363128 3.005646 6.929614 18.040898